Wade, Heat rout Clippers

Basketball Betting Lines

03/10/2010 - Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dwyane Wade poured in 27 points, dished out eight assists, and pulled down six rebounds, as the Miami Heat led wire-to-wire in a 108-97 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers.

Jermaine O'Neal donated 19 points and nine rebounds for the Heat, who have won four of five. Michael Beasley tallied 15 points while Mario Chalmers ended with 12 points and six assists off the bench for Miami, which started a six- game homestand on Wednesday.

Rasual Butler finished with 31 points for the Clippers, who have dropped five in a row and fell to 0-3 on the current five-game road trip. Chris Kaman had 16 points and five rebounds. Steve Blake chipped in 12 points and five assists while Baron Davis added 10 points and nine assists for Los Angeles, which dropped to 7-26 as the guest this season.

The Heat took control from the start, opening the game on a 14-3 burst. The Clippers chipped away at the deficit and had it down to four, 18-14, on Butler's trey with about 3 1/2 minutes to go. Chalmers' three-pointer had the home team ahead 34-24 after one quarter of action.

Miami maintained that margin in the second and took a 57-48 lead into the locker room.

Back-to-back three-pointers from Butler had Los Angeles within five, 75-70, with less than five minutes remaining in the third. However, the Heat responded by closing out the period on a 15-2 run. Wade had seven points during the burst, which Chalmers capped with a trey to make it 90-72.

The Clippers never got closer than ninth in the fourth.

Game Notes

The Heat and Clippers split a pair of meetings this season...Despite the loss, Los Angeles has won five of the last eight games in this series...The Clippers have lost 12 of their last 13 road games...Miami went 29-of-35 from the foul line, while the Clippers made 10-of-13 from the charity stripe.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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